COVID-19 Pandemic with Human Mobility Across Countries

doi:10.1007/s40305-020-00317-6

Journal of the Operations Research Society of China ›› 2021, Vol. 9 ›› Issue (2): 229-244.doi: 10.1007/s40305-020-00317-6

COVID-19 Pandemic with Human Mobility Across Countries

Cheng Zhang¹, Li-Xian Qian², Jian-Qiang Hu¹

1. Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China;
2. Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou 215123, Jiangsu, China

Received:2020-05-20 Revised:2020-06-27 Online:2021-06-30 Published:2021-06-08
Contact: Li-Xian Qian, Cheng Zhang, Jian-Qiang Hu E-mail:lixian.qian@xjtlu.edu.cn;zhangche@fudan.edu.cn;hujq@fudan.edu.cn
Supported by:
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Nos.91846302,71720107003,and 71973107).

Abstract

Abstract: This study develops a holistic view of the novel coronavirus(COVID-19) spread worldwide through a spatial–temporal model with network dynamics. By using a unique human mobility dataset containing 547 166 flights with a total capacity of 101 455 913 passengers from January 22 to April 24, 2020, we analyze the epidemic correlations across 22 countries in six continents and particularly the changes in such correlations before and after implementing the international travel restriction policies targeting different countries. Results show that policymakers should move away from the previous practices that focus only on restricting hotspot areas with high infection rates. Instead, they should develop a new holistic view of global human mobility to impose the international movement restriction. The study further highlights potential correlations between international human mobility and focal countries’ epidemic situations in the global network of COVID-19 pandemic.

Key words: COVID-19, Pandemic, Human mobility, International correlation, International travel restriction

CLC Number:

Cheng Zhang, Li-Xian Qian, Jian-Qiang Hu. COVID-19 Pandemic with Human Mobility Across Countries[J]. Journal of the Operations Research Society of China, 2021, 9(2): 229-244.

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COVID-19 Pandemic with Human Mobility Across Countries

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